Paris, the Russian airliner, Lebanon: ISIS is enlarging the war

The center cannot hold.

The house of war comes to Paris. (Image: EPA, Etienne Laurent via UK Guardian)
The house of war comes to Paris. (Image: EPA, Etienne Laurent via UK Guardian)

his will be a quick update tonight, with less of the usual analysis, because I just don’t have time.

I have no doubt that ISIS is behind the recent attacks that have been spreading out around the Syria/Iraq theater.  ISIS has claimed responsibility for all of them, and it is credible that ISIS is behind them (although they are being executed through ISIS affiliates in each local area.  The core leadership of ISIS doesn’t have to be involved in planning or managing each attack, and I assume unless it’s proven otherwise that it is not).

But this is not a minor campaign of pinpricks from single-venue terror attacks, randomly distributed here and there.  This is a full-blown campaign: a strategy on ISIS’s part. Continue reading “Paris, the Russian airliner, Lebanon: ISIS is enlarging the war”

Bad, or worse? Depends on what the meaning of ‘S-300’ is

Interesting times.

S-300PMU-2 strikes a professional pose. (Image: TV Zvezda via YouTube)
S-300PMU-2 strikes a professional pose. (Image: TV Zvezda via YouTube)

New post up at Liberty Unyielding.  Enjoy!

The Geneva deal and triggers for Israeli action (Part 2)

Bad deal. Triggers for Israel?

This is Part 2 of a two-part post.  Part 1 is here.

The consequences of Iran getting the bomb are significant, of course, including the urge other nations will feel to acquire the bomb for themselves, and the geopolitical use Iran will make of the bomb as both a regional threat and a deterrent against other nations, to cover Iran’s support of insurgencies and other proxy efforts abroad.  I have discussed these concerns, and others, at length elsewhere.  (Most links can be found at The Optimistic Conservative Iran Page.)

But the idea of this month’s deal as a watershed in global relations with Iran sets up a more imminent crisis point, Continue reading “The Geneva deal and triggers for Israeli action (Part 2)”

Air Defense: Russia Takes the Plunge

It’s on: Russia participates in air defense offer to Turkey.

There’s hardly anything more boring than the latest news on Russia’s S-300 air defense system and whether it will ever be delivered to Iran. But buried in the flurry of pro forma reports on the most recent update – which indicate that the system will not be delivered for the time being, due to the UN sanctions vote – is some news that is really news. Continue reading “Air Defense: Russia Takes the Plunge”