Back to the future: The post-Pax foreign policy debate

Interesting times.

Back map 1914It is no accident that the arc of the 20th century has in some ways circled back to where it started, one hundred years on from the prelude to the “Great War” of 1914-18.  Whether humans imagine themselves to be acting on ideology or “realism,” we continue to do pretty much the same things.  Between politics, geography, and time, we humans are very predictable.

But Americans need not despair.  Our Founders built America Continue reading “Back to the future: The post-Pax foreign policy debate”

Ukraine tipping point: A major disruption begins

Interesting times.

 

Back to the future. (Image credit: Sergey Ponomarev)
Back to the future. (Image credit: Sergey Ponomarev)

This one is baked.  The West will lose the round.

How will Ukraine end up?  My prediction: effectively partitioned, with the western portion of the country nominally left independent (for now), but under permanent threat from Russian forces in eastern Ukraine.  There may well be an open-ended period of inconclusiveness, framed as Continue reading “Ukraine tipping point: A major disruption begins”

Rohani: A “moderate” game-changer?

This changes everything.

A reader at The Optimistic Conservative pointed out that the media outlets hailing the election of Hassan Rohani, a so-called “moderate,” as the next president of Iran are the same outlets that consider the Tea Parties in America to be “radical.”

Given that most of these media outlets would agree that the clerical mullahs of Iran’s Guardian Council are radicals, the task for the Tea Parties seems clear: simply proclaim some among their membership to be “moderate.”  Send the moderate members to talk to the media and negotiate political issues.  The moderate Tea Partiers need never make a concession or give any ground; their only requirement is to serve as the self-proclaimed moderates of the Tea Party movement.  A few tweets would help too.  The media outlets should greet the Tea Party moderates with acclaim and be excited to see them elected to public office.

Election of a ringer?

If it works for the Iranian government, it should certainly work for the Tea Parties.  The fertile TOC comments section provided a preview for another significant point, which is Continue reading “Rohani: A “moderate” game-changer?”