Iran gains time, and splits the West, with another non-deal

Peace in our time.

Obama MunichNew post up at Liberty Unyielding.  Enjoy!

“Moderate” Rouhani misled West; sneaked in centrifuges?

Iran’s nukes: known unknowns.

There is a particularly interesting aspect to the video that has recently surfaced, in which Iran’s new president, Hassan Rouhani, gloats over Iran’s success in coopting European negotiators to keep the Iranian nuclear program on track in the mid-2000s, in spite of pressure from the United States.

The video clip, from an Iranian news-program interview of Rouhani in Farsi, was published by Reza Khalili.  Ryan Mauro highlights it at the Clarion Project, tying it to a report from 31 July in which Mauro outlined Rouhani’s extensive history of using deception about the Iranian nuclear program back when he was the chief nuclear negotiator for Tehran.

The deception and Rouhani’s gloating are important (see especially his characterization of the top-cover he received from European negotiators); I will let readers visit the reports and soak in the information at your leisure.  What I want to focus on here is Continue reading ““Moderate” Rouhani misled West; sneaked in centrifuges?”

New imagery of Esfahan shows no destruction at uranium facility

Not hurt put on Esfahan UCF.

As previously reported, the UK Times reported in late November that satellite imagery showed “billowing smoke” and destruction at Iran’s uranium conversion facility (UCF) east of Esfahan.

The Institute for Science and International Security (ISIS) has a report out today, however, with new commercial imagery showing no destruction whatsoever at the UCF.  The imagery date is 3 December, five days after the blast.

As readers can see, Continue reading “New imagery of Esfahan shows no destruction at uranium facility”

That uranium conversion facility at Esfahan? Not a priority target

Whoi’s hitting non-priority targets?

I’m posting a comment on this because a UK Times reporter has reported being told by Israeli intelligence that the explosion that rocked Esfahan on Monday damaged the compound with the uranium conversion facility (UCF).  (The Times article is reprinted at The Australian.)

The first affirmative quote offered in the article is in this sentence:

Israeli intelligence officials told The Times that there was “no doubt” that the blast struck the nuclear facilities at Isfahan and that it was “no accident.”

Later, an Israeli intelligence source is quoted as follows: Continue reading “That uranium conversion facility at Esfahan? Not a priority target”

Iran: Conflicting reports on new blast near Esfahan

Blowing (stuff) up.

Local officials are offering different explanations for the blast that rocked Esfahan (also spelled Isfahan) a few hours ago.  It will be some time before there is enough information to make a good assessment, but a few things can be said now.

First, although the probable location of the explosion hasn’t been clarified, comments from the provincial governor suggest that it was on the east side of the city.  The governor claimed that the blast resulted from a military training exercise at the air base co-located with the Esfahan International Airport, which is situated on the east side of the city.  Presumably his comments, whether true or not, were intended to offer an explanation consistent with the local inhabitants’ experience of the blast.

The Esfahan nuclear compound is located east of the metro area, but there are good reasons to doubt Continue reading “Iran: Conflicting reports on new blast near Esfahan”