Paris, the Russian airliner, Lebanon: ISIS is enlarging the war

The center cannot hold.

The house of war comes to Paris. (Image: EPA, Etienne Laurent via UK Guardian)
The house of war comes to Paris. (Image: EPA, Etienne Laurent via UK Guardian)

his will be a quick update tonight, with less of the usual analysis, because I just don’t have time.

I have no doubt that ISIS is behind the recent attacks that have been spreading out around the Syria/Iraq theater.  ISIS has claimed responsibility for all of them, and it is credible that ISIS is behind them (although they are being executed through ISIS affiliates in each local area.  The core leadership of ISIS doesn’t have to be involved in planning or managing each attack, and I assume unless it’s proven otherwise that it is not).

But this is not a minor campaign of pinpricks from single-venue terror attacks, randomly distributed here and there.  This is a full-blown campaign: a strategy on ISIS’s part. Continue reading “Paris, the Russian airliner, Lebanon: ISIS is enlarging the war”

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Complete unraveling: Top 5 reasons why the non-deal agreement with Iran is bad

Such a time as this.

Obama MunichThese are the top five other than the fact that it’s not a deal; it’s a surrender.  The West has agreed to lift the sanctions on Iran.  Iran has not agreed to give up anything she needs to acquire a bomb, or cease any of her aggressive behavior (e.g., arming and training Hezbollah and Hamas, fighting wars in Syria, Iraq, and Yemen).  Not one of these things – not one – is a measure of performance Iran will actually have to demonstrate to get the sanctions lifted.

1. The agreement paves Iran’s path to the bomb. The only question about Iran and the bomb now is when Iran will get it. If Iran adheres to the terms of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) agreement (link to full text here), she will retain the means, and improve the expertise, to build nuclear weapons throughout the next 10 years.  She would wait for that 10 years to pass, however, before enriching enough uranium to test a warhead and stockpile weapons. Continue reading “Complete unraveling: Top 5 reasons why the non-deal agreement with Iran is bad”

Bad, or worse? Depends on what the meaning of ‘S-300’ is

Interesting times.

S-300PMU-2 strikes a professional pose. (Image: TV Zvezda via YouTube)
S-300PMU-2 strikes a professional pose. (Image: TV Zvezda via YouTube)

New post up at Liberty Unyielding.  Enjoy!

Most likely direction of Yemen war may not be the one you think

Interesting times.

Ammo storage site under attack in Aden, 28 Mar. (Image: Reuters via CBC)
Ammo storage site under attack in Aden, 28 Mar. (Image: Reuters via CBC)

New post up at Liberty Unyielding.  Enjoy!

Obama let 40-year-old oil supply guarantee to Israel expire in November 2014

Belgium, Munich: the analogies are piling up.

(Image: Wikimedia Commons, John Hill)
(Image: Wikimedia Commons, John Hill)

New post up at Liberty Unyielding.  Enjoy!