Bad tidings of sea and air space challenges

Memorial services for the Pax Americana will be held shortly.

“History teaches that war begins when governments believe the price of aggression is cheap.” — Ronald Reagan

It made the most news when China did it a few days ago.  But it’s been building for a while, and it’s not just off China.  As the holidays settle in on us, probes of other nations’ sea and air space are in the air.  Is war coming tomorrow?  No.  But whether it comes after tomorrow will depend on more than gestures from that shapeless blob of geopolitical potential that we may now, in a post-superpower world, call the “status quo powers.”  It will depend on the outcomes the status quo powers can secure.

The China Challenge Continue reading “Bad tidings of sea and air space challenges”

Bridges to Bogotá

Bolivarian revolutionary tanks.

The news that Hugo Chavez expects delivery of his new Russian tanks “soon” revives concerns about what he wants them for.  The reported order of 92 main battle tanks (MBTs) from Russia (a mix of predominantly T-72s with some T-90s) will more than double Venezuela’s MBT inventory, which stands at 84 French-built AMX-30s.  Those 84 AMX-30s are a healthy force in comparison with most of Chavez’s neighbors.  But he also has a light-tank force of some three dozen French AMX-13s and over 70 British Scorpion 90s.

The light tanks alone are more than enough to quell popular unrest in Venezuela. Continue reading “Bridges to Bogotá”