As predicted, Vladimir Putin has established a foothold in Ukraine, and now he has to be negotiated with. He’s in no hurry to start negotiating at this point, because circumstances haven’t lined up sufficiently in his favor yet. He’s in a position he can’t be dislodged from, Read More…
Posted in Air operations, Coalition operations, Diplomacy, General military, Great power geopolitics, Maritime operations, Naval operations, Political commentary, Strategy, US Foreign policy | Tags: Black Sea, Crimea, F-15C, F-16C, Geopolitics, International security, Kara cruiser, Lakenheath, Lithuania, Military, NATO, Naval operations, Obama, Poland, Romania, Russia, Russian Navy, Strategy, The West, Turkey, Ukraine, US Navy, USS Taylor, USS Truxtun, Vladimir Putin
On 5 March, Israeli forces stopped and boarded a freighter in the Red Sea, KLOS-C, which was carrying a cargo of battlefield rockets from Iran to Port Sudan. The crew of the ship doesn’t appear to have known what was loaded in Iran; more on that later. Sudan has of course served for years as a waypoint for Iranian arms deliveries to Gaza. (See The Tower on this as well.)
According to the IDF, Israeli intelligence actually observed the rockets in question being transferred from Syria to Iran several months ago. The rockets are versions of the Syrian-made M-302, the rocket used in a 302mm multiple-rocket launch system (MLRS). The Assad regime has supplied Read More…
Posted in General military, Maritime operations, Terrorism | Tags: Arms proliferation, arms shipment, Arms smuggling, Bandar Abbas, Hamas, Hamas rockets, Hezbollah, IDF, Iran, Iraq, Israel, KLOS-C, M302 MLRS, Maritime operations, Marshall Islands, Middle East, Military, Naval operations, North Korea, Red Sea, Shatayet 13, Syria, Terrorism, Whitsea Shipping & Trading Co Ltd
[Makes an interesting counterpoint with the sorrow descending on Ukraine.]
A video posted by Stars & Stripes (below) is going viral on the web, and it features military servicemembers participating in a fund-raising drag show at Read More…
Posted in Cultures, General military, Left-wing themes, Political commentary, Political correctness, Popular Culture, The Ineffable, Western | Tags: Defense cuts, Defense priorities, Drag shows, gay servicemembers, gays in the military, Kadena Air Base, lesbians, Los Angeles Air Force Base, Military, National defense
This one is baked. The West will lose the round.
How will Ukraine end up? My prediction: effectively partitioned, with the western portion of the country nominally left independent (for now), but under permanent threat from Russian forces in eastern Ukraine. There may well be an open-ended period of inconclusiveness, framed as Read More…
Posted in Diplomacy, Economics, General military, Great power geopolitics, History, Information, Political commentary, US Foreign policy | Tags: China, Crimea, Economics, Geopolitics, History, Ideology, International relations, International security, Islamism, Obama, Russia, The West, Ukraine, Western civilization
Some things are just way too delicious. Tony Lee, blogger of excellence at Breitbart’s Big Peace, reminds us of a point Sarah Palin made during the 2008 campaign:
After the Russian Army invaded the nation of Georgia, Senator Obama’s reaction was one of indecision and moral equivalence, the kind of response that would only encourage Russia’s Putin to invade Ukraine next.
And, as Lee recounts, Palin was roundly ridiculed in the foreign-affairs media for such “far-fetched” comments.
But, of course, she was as correct then as she would be today, for the following reasons: Read More…
The times, they are a-changin’. Five years ago this month, at the very dawn of the Obama Epoch, there was a flutter in the dovecote where the armchair military analysts hang out. A rumor circulated that Russia planned to secure the use of the Yemeni island of Socotra, in the Indian Ocean, as a naval base. The old Soviet navy had used Socotra Read More…
Posted in Diplomacy, General military, Great power geopolitics, History, Maritime operations, Naval strategy, Political commentary, Strategy, US Foreign policy | Tags: Admiral Kuznetsov, Americas, Cuba, France, Geopolitics, International security, Maximilian I, Mexico, Military, Napoleon III, National defense, National security, naval bases, Naval operations, Nicaragua, Russia, Russian Navy, Singapore, Socotra, Strategy, Syria, U.S. Civil War, Venezuela, Western hemisphere, Yemen
Things are proceeding about as I expected in Ukraine, and in terms of Putin’s posture.
Readers will have heard about the Russian military exercise launched in the Western Military District involving “150,000 troops.” That’s a lot of troops, but I very much doubt they are all headed for Russia’s border with Ukraine. I do expect a build-up on that border, but something on the order of 20,000-30,000 is more like it, and it may not be that many. The 150,000 troops are, in any case, mostly stationed in western Russia to begin with. Some, especially elements like special forces, aviation, and missile units, will probably deploy from elsewhere to augment the Western Military District’s permanently stationed units.
Russia establishes a beachhead Read More…
Posted in General military, Great power geopolitics, Political commentary, US Foreign policy | Tags: 150K Russian troops, 22 MEU, Black Sea, Bosporus, Crimea, Geopolitics, International security, Istanbul, Kiev, Maidan, Mediterranean, Military, NATO, Naval operations, Russia, Russian military, Russian military exercise, Russian Navy, Russian Western Military District, Samsun, Sevastopol, Simferopol, Strategy, Turkey, Ukraine, US Navy, USS Bataan, USS George H W Bush, USS Harry S Truman, USS Mount Whitney, USS Taylor, Vladimir Putin
Just like old times, it seems. Well, there were no visits to Venezuela during the Cold War. But the visits to Cuba happened early and often.
Posted in General military, Great power geopolitics, Intelligence, Maritime operations | Tags: Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean, Cuba, Curacao, Frigate Sabalan, Havana, International security, Iran, Iranian navy, Iranian warships, Military, National defense, Naval operations, Russia, Russian intelligence collection ship, Russian Navy, Supply ship Kharg, Venezuela, Viktor Leonov, Vishnya AGI SSV-175
I don’t know what the big deal is about the proposed Arizona law protecting business owners who decline to provide services for ceremonies they believe are wrong.
Quite a few people cheered in 2010 when three Washington, D.C. area hotels refused to host the convention of American Renaissance, a “white nationalist” group that advocates racist and other discriminatory beliefs.
The hotels didn’t refuse service because of who the members of American Renaissance are. They refused service because of what American Renaissance does. What American Renaissance does is perfectly legal, Read More…
Posted in American liberty, Civil Rights, Government, Law | Tags: American liberty, American Renaissance, Arizona religious freedom bill, Equality before the law, Government policy, Individual rights, Liberty, Political philosophy, private business, rejected Super Bowl ads, Religious liberty, Southern Poverty Law Center, Super Bowl, Super Bowl ads
What is there to say that most readers even need to hear? As he did so often, Reagan summed it up nicely in a brief, well-known phrase:
Of the four wars in my lifetime, none came about because the U.S. was too strong.
Posted in General military, Great power geopolitics, Political commentary, US Foreign policy | Tags: Africa, Central America, China, Defense cuts, Defense spending, Egypt, Far East, Geopolitics, International security, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Middle East, Military, National defense, National security, Nicaragua, Russia, South China Sea, Strategy, Syria, Turkey, Ukraine, US Air Force, US Army, US Marine Corps, US Navy, Venezuela
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